Time-Based Analysis of Annual Forestry Emissions 
and Forestry Value-Added in Ranchi, Jharkhand for 
2001-2050

Amit Bara; Anamol Kumar Lal; Uma Shanker Singh

doi:https://doi.org/10.14445/22315373/IJMTT-V71I5P105

International Journal of Mathematics Trends and Technology

Research Article | Open Access | Download PDF

Volume 71 | Issue 5 | Year 2025 | Article Id. IJMTT-V71I5P105 | DOI : https://doi.org/10.14445/22315373/IJMTT-V71I5P105

Time-Based Analysis of Annual Forestry Emissions and Forestry Value-Added in Ranchi, Jharkhand for 2001-2050

Amit Bara, Anamol Kumar Lal, Uma Shanker Singh

Received	Revised	Accepted	Published
21 Mar 2025	26 Apr 2025	15 May 2025	28 May 2025

Abstract

The forestry emissions and value-added in the Ranchi region of interest are analyzed from 2001 to 2023, utilizing the Mann-Kendall test, the Sequential Mann-Kendall test, Pearson’s Correlation Coefficients, and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model. Trend analysis showed a positive increase in forestry greenhouse gas and carbon emissions at a 5% significance level. In comparison, forestry value-added exhibited a positive increasing trend at a 1% significance level. Based on the result of the correlation analysis, the forestry greenhouse gas and carbon emissions are positively correlated with the forestry value-added, with a correlation coefficient of 0.43 at a 5% significance level. The best accurate model for predicting forestry emissions and value added is ARIMA (1,1,0). The trend analysis of forecasted forestry emissions and value-added indicates a significant positive upward trend in both greenhouse gas and carbon emissions from forestry and the value added from the forestry sector in Ranchi, Jharkhand. This trend is projected from 2024 to 2050 and is significant at a 1% significance level.

Keywords

Forestry greenhouse gas emissions, Forestry carbon emissions, Forestry value-added, ARIMA model.

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Citation :

Amit Bara, Anamol Kumar Lal, Uma Shanker Singh, "Time-Based Analysis of Annual Forestry Emissions and Forestry Value-Added in Ranchi, Jharkhand for 2001-2050," International Journal of Mathematics Trends and Technology (IJMTT), vol. 71, no. 5, pp. 25-33, 2025. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315373/IJMTT-V71I5P105